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First in Europe to adopt the system, Zurich police Precobs acquired for 100,000 francs, after having tried for six months . The example was recently followed by Berlin and Munich, Zurich excited about the results.
What do you think in our country, just as affected by the unwelcome visits apartments? In Geneva as in the canton of Vaud, the futuristic software Zurich colleagues is known. But speaking Switzerland, it is more confidence in the human, experience and spontaneity. A more “manual” is preferred to IT. “We are always interested in new technologies and what they can bring, but for now, we prefer the expertise of specialists, including those in direct contact with the ground,” says Silvain Guillaume-Gentil, spokesman Geneva police.
Even his bell on the side of his Vaudois counterpart Jean-Christophe Sauterel, reminiscent of the canton in Switzerland is a pioneer in the analysis of serial crimes. “Never software can replace the work of experienced investigators. Particularly because a program can not identify a standard profile of individuals. ”
The spokesman gives the example of burglaries carried out by Gypsy girls. “They have a technique and a specific procedure. A software can not make the connection between it and a specific group of girls! ”
The software then would not be very useful in a region as large as the French-speaking plateau, much larger and heterogeneous than a city. As for the good performance of the Zurich police, Jean-Christophe Sauterel remain skeptical. “Of course, if we strengthen the police in one place, the crime rate down. But it only shifts the problem without solving it. Thieves will find themselves in the township or town nearby. In general, we should see the long-term effect. But the parameters are so numerous that I find a bit risky to draw a causal link specific effect “
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In the film Minority Report , the city of Washington has succeeded, in 2054, to eradicate crime . The agents of the “Precrime” gifted individuals precognition, can provide future visions for arresting criminals just before they committed their crimes.
With forty years of advance, Zurich police now uses a similar system. In July, she bought “Precobs” software developed by the “Institute modeled predictive technique” (IfmPt), a small company based in the German city of Oberhausen. The program must precisely its name to the news of Philip K. Dick which the film is based.
Precobs shows on a map the location and date of the next crime, and that the meter and time closely. It is not to play Ms. Sun, but from a purely mathematical calculation. The program lists in its database all crimes reported in the past five years, including the place, date and exact time or the amount of booty and modus operandi . These data, recorded in as by the police allow the program algorithm to predict the future by marking red vulnerable areas.
In order to prevent criticism of the Data Protection Institute insists that the algorithm does not store any personal information. Precobs is thus based on the observations of several studies demonstrating the phenomenon of “near repeats,” is that often an offense precedes another. This is true especially for burglaries, but also armed robbery or vehicle theft.
A burglar returns indeed often the place of his crime. “As a thief, you naturally prefer buildings Champel rather than those of Lignon simply explains Marco Cortesi, spokesman for the city police of Zurich. It’s like going to pick mushrooms: at first we grope without knowing where the best are. Then, when we found the right place, not too bright, easy to access and well furnished, it is always the same. “
Test concluding
For now, the Zurich police use the software only to identify burglary. The results are bluffing. “We are seeing a 14% decrease in burglaries for the period November 2013 to November 2014. This is 30% in areas tested Precobs” says Marco Cortesi.
It s’ However, this is not to replace the police by a computer. “We must always observe and analyze the sensitive areas. Our work does not stop here, “said Marco Cortesi, who certainly knows Geneva” Precobs may indicate a potential target is in the Rue des Bains, but it does not indicate the number of the street and the apartment. “When an alert is given, the police act in two ways. She discretely sends detectives to take the thugs hand in the bag, and it strengthens the police presence. “By dint of seeing patrols and uniforms, burglars end up dropping the place,” says Marco Cortesi. (TDG)
Created: 12/22/2014, 8:26
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